The conclusion of another excellent NFL season is upon us. The largest stage. The brightest lights. The pomp and scenario of Super Bowl week still have a few steps left. All of that, along with the intermingling sadness that football games that matter more than for six months will certainly bring us to the Kansas City Chiefs handling the San Francisco 49ers in Super Bowl LVIII.
Sunday’s matchup gives the globe a chance to see among the most effective teams from the routine period (San Francisco) versus the best quarterback in the organization still in his prime (Patrick Mahomes). The stories are deep in the game, consisting of whether Kansas City remains to be carried by their protection, whether Kyle Shanahan can get the big win, and whether we will certainly see the next action in the relationship between Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift.
Surprising Super Bowl Prediction
All playoffs long, we have brought you forecasts based on the analytical information readily available with DVOA. DVOA breaks down the quality of play compared to the organization average while adjusting for the strength of the challengers being played. It is among a couple of catch-all analytics actions that assist us in understanding the gorgeous game of football much better.
DVOA hasn’t been perfect in anticipating video games this offseason, with the top overall group, the Baltimore Ravens, falling to the Chiefs in the AFC National Championship. DVOA would certainly never pretend to be ideal in predictions as a result of all the different variables (weather, umpires, injuries, coaching choices, and so on) able to influence the outcome of a one-game example.
While Mahomes’ greatness is recognized, Kansas City’s violation has battled sometimes this season. RB Isaiah Pacheco signed up with Mahomes and Kelce as the only constants during the 2023 season.
The Niners followed the Ravens as the second-best group by DVOA’s criteria. San Francisco had a three-game losing touch before their bye week in very early November. The Niners’ violation had difficulty placing points on the board in Weeks 6 through 8, scoring simply 17 in each of those 3 video games. They brought out a revenge after their bye week scoring 27 or even more factors in their next 6 games consisting of two video games over 42 points.
In 5 of those six victories, San Francisco’s defense held their challengers under 20 factors.
With the eyes of the world upon them, Super Bowl LVIII has an easy story: Great team vs great QB. As football fans understand, it is never as basic as that. As we look at the DVOA metric, we know that the presence of Mahomes also makes predicting the big game a lot more difficult than simply these numbers:
San Francisco 49ers vs Kansas City Chiefs
General DVOA: San Francisco 2nd vs Kansas City 5th
Offending DVOA: San Francisco 1st vs Kansas City 8th
Defensive DVOA: San Francisco fourth vs Kansas City 7th
Edge: 49ers – In every aspect, the Niners have been better than the Chiefs this year according to DVOA. Based on the information, it makes good sense that San Francisco is preferred in Sunday’s Super Dish matchup. At this point, expecting Kansas City to win is based on their history of success, Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes. Every other indicator points to a 49er’s success in this year’s large game.
DVOA is another enjoyable piece of information to aid you make wagering decisions, going over the playoffs with your family and coworkers, or arguing with people on social media sites.
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